28 August 2011

Sure Thing?

There was a post called Benner-Fibonacci-Cycle earlier. I found an equally good variation of it on the internet and wanted to share with all of you.

The chart is self explanatory but still I would like to write (just in case its not entirely readable) a few lines regarding the 3 rows of years pointed out. Row A are the years of panic not necessarily the year of market top. Row B are the years of Market Tops (time to sell) and Row C the years of Market Bottoms (time to buy). The calculation formula is also there in the chart, but I have no idea how to support it.

As you can see this chart has been prepared in 1872, so you can go back in history and check the validity of prediction here. Last few panics were in 1981 and 1999 and the next is expected in 2019!

Market tops were in 1999 and 2007 and next predicted is in 2016.

Market bottoms were in 1996 and 2005 and next predicted in 2012 (Oh No, Not Again!)

So looks like I have 1 more year to sit out of equities!


manu said...

good one again..

i told shai 2 gv u a trial day..

manu said...


Tarique Anwar said...

eid mubarak to you too.. and all folks at vtrender!

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